Blast of Heat for Parts of Northeast and Mid-Atlantic in Advance of Cold Front

Posted: May 31, 2022 1:26 pm

Storms Shifting to East as Week Wears On

After a weekend of sporadic rain and cool temperatures, it did not feel much like the unofficial start to summer in the Northeast. However, that all is forecast to change this week as a pattern of drier and warmer weather moves into the region. How long will this early taste of summer last? And where will the greatest risks of severe weather be to start the work week? Here is your latest forecast.

Weekend Wraps Up with Beautiful Weather with More on the Way

Although the first part of the three-day weekend was a wash for most of the Northeast, the actual Memorial Day holiday was met with sunnier and drier conditions. In fact, some cities in this corridor experienced temperature readings that were up to 15 degrees warmer than usual for the end of May on Monday. Cities such as Baltimore and Philadelphia soared into the upper 80s as residents enjoyed parades and picnics to commemorate the day.

Tuesday is forecast to bring even warmer temperature to some parts of the Northeast and into the mid-Atlantic. For instance, New York City is forecast to see a high of 96 degrees on Tuesday as the heat moves down the Interstate 95 corridor. The heat will expand into the central Appalachians on Tuesday and Wednesday. Some parts of the mid-Atlantic may come a few degrees within record temperatures for May 31.

Cooler in New England

It will be a different story in New England on Tuesday. A cold front is predicted to drop down from Canada, shoving the heat that characterized the weather on Monday to the south. This will bring places such as Boston down into the upper 70s on Tuesday. By Wednesday, the high temperature in Boston is not expected to climb out of the upper 50s with afternoon and evening rain showers in the forecast.

The front is forecast to keep pushing to the south by the middle of the week. Forecasters are still uncertain as to how far the cool air will travel. New York City will drop from a high in the mid-90s on Tuesday to only a forecast high of 70 degrees under mostly cloudy skies on Wednesday. There is still a chance that the front could stall out farther to the north, sparing some of the mid-Atlantic a dramatic cooldown by the middle of the week.

In addition to the cold front arriving from Canada, a front moving east from the Midwest is expected to increase the cloud cover throughout the East Coast by the latter half of the week. This front will also bring a greater chance of showers and thunderstorms to the region, likely killing any chance of ongoing heat in the mid-Atlantic.

While the heat will likely not feel much like summer is here, the humidity and chance of afternoon thunderstorms will provide a taste of the upcoming season.

Greatest Chance of Storms Tuesday and Wednesday

The greatest chance of severe weather on Tuesday and Wednesday will be centered over the central U.S. While the bulk of the storms over the holiday weekend were positioned over the northern Plains, this threat is shifting to the south and the east on Tuesday and Wednesday. This will bring the stormy conditions to the Texas High Plains and up through Tornado Alley and into eastern Wisconsin. This puts cities such as Amarillo, Texas and Wichita, Kansas in the line of fire for severe weather.

This line of storms will bring the chance of gusty winds and hail. Some of the hail could measure over two inches in diameter, a size that could cause substantial damage to car windshields and home roofs.

As with most storms of this magnitude, there is also the chance of isolated tornadoes. However, because these storm cells are predicted to be located farther from the jet stream, the threat of tornadoes will be less than what the region experienced over the weekend.

By Wednesday, the storms will continue to track farther to the east, taking aim at the Ohio Valley and the Great Lakes. The Northeast may see storms fire up on Thursday.

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